Del City, Oklahoma 7 Day Weather Forecast

Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation

143
FXUS64 KOUN 152322
AFDOUN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
622 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 557 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

- Very windy through early evening with wind gusts of 50-60+ mph.

- Near-crticial to critical fire weather through this evening,
  mainly due to strong winds

- A hard freeze is expected Monday morning with wind chill values in
  the single digits and teens.

- Record heat possible by the end of next week into next weekend,
  with widespread 90+ degree temperatures expected.

&&

.NEAR TERM...
(Rest of today and tonight)
Issued at 136 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

A rather busy afternoon with several ongoing hazards, such as:
strong damaging winds, wildfires, and blowing dust. The strongest
cold air advection is beginning to shift into central and southern
Oklahoma and northern Texas. This may shift the stronger wind
gusts away form northwest Oklahoma during the afternoon.
Otherwise, wind gusts over 55 mph will remain possible before
diminishing into the 35 to 40 mph range early this evening. The
reduced wind speeds will help elevate wildfire behavior and low
visibility with blowing dust.

A hard freeze is expected across the area tonight, with overnight
lows mainly in the 20s. The wind will remain breezy, so wind chill
values will range from the single digits to upper teens by early
Monday morning.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Monday through Tuesday night)
Issued at 136 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

Temperatures will remain chilly on Monday with surface high pressure
building south of the area.  A northerly wind will become southeast
and south Monday night into Tuesday. Temperature will rebound
quickly on Tuesday with afternoon highs warming into the upper 60s
to lower 70s (most areas).  With dry return flow and a breezy
southerly wind, elevated to near-critical fire weather conditions
will develop Tuesday afternoon.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Wednesday through Saturday)
Issued at 151 AM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

The warming trend will continue in earnest through the middle to end
of next week as strong upper ridging (nearly 600 dm at 500 mb)
builds across the western/central US. Model data continues to
point towards the potential for record heat across the area with
widespread 90+ degree temps likely and 100 degrees not out of the
question across southwest OK and western north TX. Remarkably,
even the 50th percentile NBM would challenge the all-time March
high temperature records Thursday through Saturday, with 90th
percentile values well over 100 degrees across much of the area
and approaching 110 degrees across our southwest. Ensemble spread
increases by Saturday into Sunday as some models want to try to
bring a cold front into/near and heat relief into the area, but
confidence is rather low in this scenario at this time.
Unfortunately, with the upper ridge dominating the region
precipitation chances will remain near zero for at least the next
7 days if not longer.

Ware

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 557 PM CDT Sun Mar 15 2026

All terminals expected to remain in a VFR category through the
entire forecast period. The main issue impacting our terminals
overnight will be the sustained wind speeds and strong gusts at
the surface as the wind direction will stay north-northwesterly
through the forecast period. The surface pressure gradient starts
to weaken by 12Z as high pressure starts building in from the
west with sustained winds decreasing 10-15 kts. A north to south
aligned low-level jet will persist tonight eventually weakening by
18Z. Vertical mixing likely persist through much of tonight
keeping wind gusts at 30-40 kts at least through 10Z after which
some decoupling could reduce them 20-30 kts through 18Z. After
18Z mixing begins although weaker flow at the mixing height
keeping gusts at 15-20 kts through 23Z.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  24  46  28  66 /   0   0   0   0
Hobart OK         22  51  30  70 /   0   0   0   0
Wichita Falls TX  27  53  31  70 /   0   0   0   0
Gage OK           19  50  29  74 /   0   0   0   0
Ponca City OK     20  43  23  64 /   0   0   0   0
Durant OK         29  48  29  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Blowing Dust Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for OKZ004>006-
     009>011-014>017-021>023-033>039-044-045.

     Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ004>006-
     009>012-014>019-021>030-033>041-044>046-050.

     High Wind Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ004>030-
     033>040-044-045.

     Wind Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for OKZ031-032-041>043-
     046>048-050>052.

TX...Blowing Dust Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ083>090.

     Red Flag Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ083>090.

     High Wind Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ083>090.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...06
SHORT TERM...06
LONG TERM....08
AVIATION...68